Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 8

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Araruama		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.65	2.5
				Watch
				Watch
	3.09	2.76	2.43
	3.55	2.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.55)	2.69 ↓ (3)	2.36 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araruama
28.4%

Draw
33.5%

Duque de Caxias
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araruama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Araruama's form might have worsened.

Duque de Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Araruama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (-3%)

Araruama - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 9)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Araruama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araruama FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.25	Olaria - Araruama	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:1 ✺
04.06.25	Petrópolis - Araruama	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Araruama - Resende	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Cabofriense - Araruama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLTLT
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.25	Duque de Caxias - America RJ	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Audax Rio - Duque de Caxias	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Duque de Caxias - São Gonçalo	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Duque de Caxias - Olaria	3:2 ✺
24.05.25	Bangu - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
08.06.24	Duque de Caxias - Araruama	0:0

Araruama - Duque de Caxias

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Araruama - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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