Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Bangu U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.7	1.5
	5.9	3.8	1.48
	5.94	3.77	1.45
	6.98	3.7	1.46
	5.7	3.7	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6 ↑ (4.2)	3.73 ↑ (3.2)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu U20
15%

Draw
24.1%

Fluminense U20
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.9%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

29.9%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangu U20's form might have worsened.

Fluminense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fluminense U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu U20 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fluminense U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bangu U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fluminense U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fluminense U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bangu U20 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Bangu U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
26.09.25	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Bangu U20	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Bangu U20	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Bangu U20 - Maricá U20	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Bangu U20	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Bangu U20 - Volta Redonda U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWLW
- Fluminense U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
27.09.25	Fluminense U20 - Maricá U20	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Fluminense U20 - Volta Redonda U20	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Madureira U20 - Fluminense U20	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
20.07.24	Bangu U20 - Fluminense U20	0:0
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
30.03.24	Fluminense U20 - Bangu U20	2:2

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