Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bangu U20		Madureira U20

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.00	3.00
	2.20	3.30	2.70
	2.11	3.16	3.11
	2.15	3.25	3.11	Watch
	2.08	3.10	3.05
	2.14	3.22	3.02
	2.11	3.20	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.23)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	3.03 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu U20
42.1%

Draw
28.3%

Madureira U20
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Madureira U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Bangu U20 - Madureira U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 8th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Bangu U20 arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Madureira U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Bangu U20 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bangu U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
13.10.26	Bangu U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:1 ✺
09.10.26	Boavista SC U20 - Bangu U20	1:4 ✺
02.10.26	Bangu U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Bangu U20	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Bangu U20 - Maricá U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWTWW
- Madureira U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
10.10.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Madureira U20 - Boavista SC U20	1:1 ✺
30.09.26	Madureira U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Madureira U20	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Madureira U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
23.08.25	Madureira U20 - Bangu U20	3:1
28.09.24	Madureira U20 - Bangu U20	0:1
22.09.24	Bangu U20 - Madureira U20	1:2
10.08.24	Madureira U20 - Bangu U20	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
31.10.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Bangu U20	✺
- Madureira U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
30.10.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Madureira U20	✺

Bangu U20 - Madureira U20