Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished
Madureira U20
Vasco da Gama U20
1
X
2
6.75
3.90
1.40
6.3
4.15
1.38
5.55
4.09
1.42
5.4
4
1.39
7.08
4.2
1.37
6.4
4.3
1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)
6.25 ↓ (7.8)
4.11 ↓ (4.6)
1.39 ↑ (1.34)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madureira U20 14.3%
Draw 21.7%
Vasco da Gama U20 64%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
11.7%
19.9%
68.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.1%
18.9%
72%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madureira U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Vasco da Gama U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Madureira U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 3, ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+11', 🟥,
Preview
First leg.
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 2nd in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
Madureira U20 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Vasco U20 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The betting markets point to Vasco U20 as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Madureira U20 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:12 (averaging 0.8:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Madureira U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
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