The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 35.9%
Draw 27.9%
Madureira U20 36.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.1%
26.3%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
25.6%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Madureira U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madureira U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madureira U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 7th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
Recent results have been tough for Sampaio Corrêa U20 (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Madureira U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sampaio Corrêa U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Sampaio Corrêa U20 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sampaio Corrêa U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
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