Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	FCK TV


	Baník Ostrava		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.7	2.05	Watch
	3	3.5	2.05
	3.25	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.27	3.7	2.06
	3.22	3.82	2.03	Watch
	3.38	3.78	2.03
	3.25	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	2.05 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
28.9%

Draw
25.4%

Copenhagen
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.3%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Baník Ostrava - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Copenhagen will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Copenhagen: 58.8% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Markovic J. (G) 24. Juroska J. 17. Frydrych M. 37. Chalus M. 15. Kpozo P. 5. Boula J. 12. Rigo T. 9. Buchta D. 10. Sin M. 32. Ewerton (C) 33. Prekop E.	1. Trott N. (G) 4. Garananga M. 2. Diks K. 3. Vavro D. 24. Meling B. 12. Lerager L. 33. Falk R. (C) 27. Delaney T. 10. Elyounoussi M. 18. Oskarsson O. 11. Larsson J.
Substitutes
2. Aririerisim U. 23. Fomba I. 6. Fukala M. 13. Grygar S. 30. Holec D. (G) 95. Holzer D. 21. Klima J. 28. Kubala F. 7. Pojezny K. 66. Rusnak M. 11. Sehic E. 20. Tanko A.	30. Achouri E. 45. Chiakha A. 36. Clem W. 47. Froholdt V. 5. Gabriel Pereira 22. Gocholeishvili G. 38. Hojer O. 42. Jorgensen T. 8. Mattsson M. 16. Robert 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 21. Sander T. (G)
Coaches
Hapal P.	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Elyounoussi M. 🟨,
41', Delaney T. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
42', 1 - 0, Prekop E. ⚽, Buchta D. (A),
45+1', Buchta D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meling B. 🟨,
48', Prekop E. 🟨,
57', Garananga M. 🟨,
60', Larsson J. ↓, Achouri E. ↑,
60', Meling B. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
65', Achouri E. 🟨,
72', Falk R. ↓, Mattsson M. ↑,
72', Diks K. ↓, Clem W. ↑,
76', Clem W. 🟨,
77', Prekop E. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
77', Buchta D. ↓, Holzer D. ↑,
81', Sin M. ↓, Tanko A. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
104', Garananga M. ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
106', Juroska J. 🟨,
109', Juroska J. ↓, Fukala M. ↑,
109', Rigo T. ↓, Grygar S. ↑,
117', Boula J. ↓, Kubala F. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Klima J. (Pen),
1, Oskarsson O. (Pen),
2, Ewerton (Pen),
2, Mattsson M. (Pen),
3, Kubala F. (Pen),
3, Elyounoussi M. (Pen),
4, Frydrych M. (Pen),
4, Achouri E. (Pen),
5, Chalus M. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Baník Ostrava is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Copenhagen in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baník Ostrava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Copenhagen have a series of home games.

Copenhagen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baník Ostrava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
11.08.24	Baník Ostrava - Hradec Králové	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Copenhagen - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
01.08.24	Urartu Yerevan - Baník Ostrava	0:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
28.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Jablonec	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Urartu Yerevan	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
11.08.24	SønderjyskE - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Copenhagen - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
04.08.24	Copenhagen - Randers FC	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Copenhagen - Magpies	5:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
28.07.24	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Copenhagen - Baník Ostrava	1:0

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