Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	FCK TV


	Copenhagen		Baník Ostrava

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	7	Watch
	1.29	5.25	8
	1.3	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.3	5.2	8.82
	1.33	5.23	8.33	Watch
	1.28	5.8	8.95
	1.3	5.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.74)	5.43 ↑ (3.8)	8.3 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
71.6%

Draw
17.2%

Baník Ostrava
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

23.2%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Copenhagen's performance.

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Copenhagen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.9%	6.6%	5.5%

Copenhagen - Baník Ostrava Predictions

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (78 of 89 users predict this - 87.64%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.8% – 94.48%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trott N. (G) 13. Huescas R. 3. Vavro D. 2. Diks K. 24. Meling B. 33. Falk R. (C) 27. Delaney T. 8. Mattsson M. 10. Elyounoussi M. 18. Oskarsson O. 30. Achouri E.	35. Markovic J. (G) 24. Juroska J. 17. Frydrych M. 37. Chalus M. 15. Kpozo P. 5. Boula J. 12. Rigo T. 9. Buchta D. 10. Sin M. 32. Ewerton (C) 33. Prekop E.
Substitutes
45. Chiakha A. 47. Froholdt V. 4. Garananga M. 22. Gocholeishvili G. 38. Hojer O. 42. Jorgensen T. 11. Larsson J. 12. Lerager L. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 21. Sander T. (G) 6. Sorensen C.	2. Aririerisim U. 6. Fukala M. 13. Grygar S. 30. Holec D. (G) 95. Holzer D. 21. Klima J. 28. Kubala F. 41. Kubny M. (G) 7. Pojezny K. 66. Rusnak M. 11. Sehic E. 20. Tanko A.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Hapal P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Huescas R. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Delaney T. ↓, Lerager L. ↑,
64', Prekop E. 🟨,
67', Achouri E. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
70', Prekop E. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
70', Buchta D. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
77', Mattsson M. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
79', Sin M. ↓, Kubala F. ↑,
86', Kpozo P. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Froholdt V. ⚽, Lerager L. (A),
90+2', Rigo T. ↓, Grygar S. ↑,
90+2', Ewerton ↓, Holzer D. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Copenhagen in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baník Ostrava is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Copenhagen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Copenhagen is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Copenhagen to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
04.08.24	Copenhagen - Randers FC	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Copenhagen - Magpies	5:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
28.07.24	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Magpies - Copenhagen	0:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
22.07.24	Lyngby BK - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWWW
- Baník Ostrava
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Urartu Yerevan - Baník Ostrava	0:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
28.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Jablonec	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Urartu Yerevan	5:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.07.24	Bohemians 1905 - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Dukla Banská Bystrica	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

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