The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baník Ostrava 32.8%
Draw 28.8%
Jablonec 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
28.4%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
27.2%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
9.1%
54.5%
Baník Ostrava - Jablonec Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Jablonec will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Budinsky V. (G) 34. Bewene A. 37. Chalus M. 6. Pojezny K. 44. Sehic E. 80. Kricfalusi O. 18. Planka D. 9. Buchta D. 5. Boula J. (C) 55. Musak A. 29. Pira J.
1. Hanus J. (G) 84. Pantalon R. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 57. Novak F. 18. Cedidla M. 14. Soucek D. 13. Sedlacek R. 21. Polidar M. 8. Zorvan F. 24. Puskac D. 44. Jawo L.
Substitutes
77. Almasi L. 17. Frydrych M. 14. Jaron P. 15. Kpozo P. 41. Kubny M. (G) 19. Lischka D. 31. Munksgaard A. 25. Owusu D. 4. Tiehi C.
77. Alegue A. 19. Chramosta J. 90. Innocenti N. 26. Karban K. 17. Lavrincik S. 42. Malensek M. 99. Mihelak K. (G) 9. Penxa L. 16. Rusek A. 5. Stepanek D. 10. Suchan J.
Coaches
Galasek T.
Kozel L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Jawo L. ⚽, Novak F. (A),
41', Jawo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sehic E. ↓, Frydrych M. ↑,
55', Puskac D. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
61', Tekijaski N. 🟨,
71', Zorvan F. ↓, Alegue A. ↑,
71', Soucek D. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
74', Musak A. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
86', Pojezny K. 🟨,
90+6', Sedlacek R. ↓, Innocenti N. ↑,
90+6', Jawo L. ↓, Malensek M. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 3.
Baník Ostrava is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jablonec has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Jablonec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
Plavsic S.
(Groin Injury)
Rusnak M.
(Health problems)
Tiehi C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Jablonec: Chanturishvili V.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Havran M.
(Injury)
Holec D.
(Injury)
Holzer D.
(Knee Injury)
Kohut M.
(Health problems)
Lischka D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Jablonec: Nebyla S.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).