Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 15

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Baranovichi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Baranovichi		Torpedo-BelAZ

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.10	1.98
	3.58	3.3	2.06
	3.5	3.1	2.01
	3.65	3.22	2.07
	3.4	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (4.19)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baranovichi
26%

Draw
28.9%

Torpedo-BelAZ
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

30%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

29.4%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Baranovichi - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions

Users Predictions: Torpedo-BelAZ will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shapko D. (G) 19. Bruy A. 2. Kendysh S. 5. Fedotov V. 23. Vasilenko V. 9. Lapun E. (C) 8. Balbukh V. 96. Potorocha V. 10. Lebedev F. 77. Artyukh M. 17. Shevchenko M.	1. Ignatovich S. (G) 22. Baranok Z. 13. Zaleskiy A. 96. Melko V. 30. Pobudey V. (C) 27. Gaevoy M. 2. Bamba M. 68. Zhulpa D. 20. Martyanov G. 16. Agbo G. 9. Petrosyan G.
Substitutes
88. Gitselev Z. 33. Muzychenko K. 29. Penchuk S. 34. Petrenko A. 7. Pukhov T. 11. Ryabykh N. 27. Sarkisyan T. 3. Shcherbakov K. 26. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 98. Svidinskiy M.	17. Krolik V. 14. Ladutko M. 4. Manaev V. 99. Maslenikov M. (G) 90. Matusevich N. 47. Nalivayko V. 5. Stanul A. 25. Yurasov T. (G)
Coaches
Kirenkin R.	Lentsevich D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Bruy A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Potorocha V. ⚽, Artyukh M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lapun E. ↓, Svidinskiy M. ↑,
54', Petrosyan G. ↓, Matusevich N. ↑,
58', Bruy A. ↓, Ryabykh N. ↑,
58', Shevchenko M. ↓, Penchuk S. ↑,
65', Gaevoy M. 🟨,
67', Agbo G. ↓, Ladutko M. ↑,
74', Ladutko M. 🟨,
78', Potorocha V. ↓, Gitselev Z. ↑,
82', Zhulpa D. ↓, Manaev V. ↑,
82', Pobudey V. ↓, Nalivayko V. ↑,
89', Artyukh M. ↓, Muzychenko K. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

Baranovichi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torpedo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Baranovichi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Torpedo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baranovichi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:7.

Including home match between the teams, Baranovichi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:7.

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

Zhodino: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Zhodino	22	7	6	9	28:29	-1	27
11	Baranovici	23	6	7	10	24:38	-14	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.07.26	Belshina - Baranovichi	1:1 ✺
26.06.26	Baranovichi - Slavia Mozyr	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	Naftan - Baranovichi	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Baranovichi - Minsk	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Vitebsk - Baranovichi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 TTLWW
- Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.07.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - Isloch Minsk	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - BATE Borisov	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Belshina - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - Slavia Mozyr	1:1 ✺
29.05.26	Naftan - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Cup
24.07.19	Baranovichi - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:7

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