Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Barbadás		Estradense

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.15	1.92
	3.93	3.19	1.95	Watch
	3.69	3.13	1.97
	3.75	3.1	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (4.3)	3.14 ↓ (3.48)	1.95 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbadás
24.3%

Draw
29%

Estradense
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26.2%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

25.7%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estradense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estradense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barbadás - Estradense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Barbadás is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Estradense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Estradense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Estradense is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barbadás won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Somozas - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Barbadás - Montañeros	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Arosa - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Barbadás - Atlético Arteixo	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Noia - Barbadás	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Estradense - Alondras	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Lugo B - Estradense	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Estradense - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Silva SD - Estradense	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Estradense - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
29.09.24	Estradense - Barbadás	4:2
21.01.24	Estradense - Barbadás	1:1

Barbadás - Estradense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide