Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Barbastro		Egüés

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.6	3.5	6	Watch
	1.53	3.3	5.2
	1.63	3.34	6.37
	1.58	3.38	6.05
	1.6	3.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.41)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	5.79 ↓ (9.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
57.3%

Draw
27%

Egüés
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

25.8%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

15.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barbastro's form might have worsened.

Egüés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Egüés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barbastro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Barbastro - Egüés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Barbastro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Egüés is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Egüés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barbastro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barbastro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.02.24	Izarra - Barbastro	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Utebo - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Barbastro - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	UD Logroñés - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Barbastro - Brea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLTTW
- CD Egüés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.02.24	Egüés - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	UD Logroñés - Egüés	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Egüés - Brea	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Gernika - Egüés	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Egüés - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.10.23	Egüés - Barbastro	3:0

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