Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Gernika		Egüés

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.6	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.35	6.22
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.61	3.52	5.76
	1.59	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.87)	3.39 ↑ (3.08)	5.42 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
56%

Draw
27.1%

Egüés
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

29.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

30.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gernika's performance.

Egüés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Gernika - Egüés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Egüés have a series of home games.

In this match Gernika is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gernika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.01.24	Izarra - Gernika	2:2 ✺
10.01.24	Barbastro - Gernika	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Gernika - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	UD Logroñés - Gernika	7:1 ✺
03.12.23	Gernika - Brea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTLW
- CD Egüés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.01.24	Egüés - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Egüés - Náxara	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Tudelano - Egüés	1:4 ✺
10.12.23	Egüés - Calahorra	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Egüés - Mallorca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.09.23	Egüés - Gernika	0:1

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