Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Barbastro		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.95	4.33
	1.9	3.1	4.33
	1.86	3.09	5.13
	1.81	3.09	5.13
	1.73	3.14	4.9
	1.88	2.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.55)	3.05 ↓ (3.5)	4.69 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
50.2%

Draw
30.1%

Náxara
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

25.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24.9%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barbastro's form might have worsened.

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barbastro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Barbastro - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Barbastro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Náxara is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Náxara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barbastro is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Barbastro - Almería	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.12.23	Tudelano - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Barbastro - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Barakaldo - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Barbastro - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WTWLT
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.12.23	Náxara - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	UD Logroñés - Náxara	5:0 ✺
19.11.23	Náxara - Brea	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Gernika - Náxara	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Náxara - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWTL

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