Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Barbastro		Sant Andreu

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	3.5	2.92	2.08
	3.53	3.08	2.09	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.1
	3.37	2.94	2.16
	3.5	3.1	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.91)	2.98 ↓ (3.01)	2.13 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
26.9%

Draw
30.4%

Sant Andreu
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sant Andreu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Barbastro - Sant Andreu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Blanco C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Sanz R. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Garcia A. G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barbastro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.12.25	Andratx - Barbastro	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Barbastro - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Castellon B - Barbastro	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Barbastro - Barcelona B	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Reus FC Reddis - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLWLT
- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.12.25	Sant Andreu - Castellon B	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Atlètic Lleida - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sant Andreu - Espanyol B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sant Andreu - Celta de Vigo	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.11.25	Girona B - Sant Andreu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWLL

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