Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday

Location: Cotton Bowl (Dallas)


	Barcelona		Club América

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.4
	2.42	3.79	2.46
	2.3	3.9	2.3
	2.45	4.05	2.46	Watch
	2.45	3.65	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.82)	3.8 ↓ (4.15)	2.42 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
38.2%

Draw
24.1%

Club América
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

22.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona's form might have worsened.

Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club América's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club América, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Barcelona - Club América Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). América will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Astralaga A. (G) 39. Fort H. 33. Cubarsi P. 15. Christensen A. 40. Martin G. 21. de Jong F. 30. Casado M. 35. Hernandez U. 27. Yamal L. 38. Guiu M. 14. Joao Felix	1. Malagon L. (G) 5. Alvarez K. 29. Juarez R. 3. Reyes I. 26. Reyes S. 6. dos Santos J. 20. Sanchez R. 17. Zendejas A. 32. Suarez L. 33. Quinones J. 11. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
29. Alarcon A. 3. Balde A. 2. Cancelo J. 42. Fall M. 41. Faye M. 22. Gundogan I. 31. Kochen D. (G) 23. Kounde J. 9. Lewandowski R. 32. Lopez F. 13. Pena I. (G) 43. Prim P. 11. Raphinha 20. Roberto S. 18. Romeu O. 7. Torres F.	4. Caceres S. 8. Fidalgo A. 2. Fuentes L. 27. Jimenez O. (G) 23. Lara E. 31. Lichnovsky I. 21. Martin H. 16. Naveda S. 7. Rodriguez B. 10. Valdes D.

Preview

Neutral location - Cotton Bowl.

Recent matches Barcelona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

América could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
20.12.23	Barcelona - Almería	3:2 ✺
16.12.23	Valencia - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.12.23	Royal Antwerp - Barcelona	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.12.23	Barcelona - Girona	2:4 ✺
03.12.23	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLW
- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
17.12.23	Club América - Tigres UANL	3:0 ET ✺
14.12.23	Tigres UANL - Club América	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Club América - Atlético San Luis	0:2 ✺
06.12.23	Atlético San Luis - Club América	0:5 ✺
02.12.23	Club América - Club León	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLWW

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