Match Info

LaLiga - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, New World Sport 3, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Valencia		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	10	6.5	1.25	Watch
	8.50	6.25	1.29
	10.5	5.7	1.27	Watch
	10.68	6.6	1.28
	9.11	6.41	1.31	Watch
	10	6.15	1.27
	10.9	6.45	1.3	Watch
	9.8	6.6	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.94 ↑ (5.85)	6.33 ↑ (4.96)	1.28 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
9.7%

Draw
15.2%

Barcelona
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

19.1%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

18.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valencia's form might have worsened.

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	15.6%	71.9%

Valencia - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Barcelona will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 58.8% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (5.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 24. Maffeo P. 22. Martinez A. 4. Diakhaby M. (C) 18. Pepelu 21. Vazquez J. 27. Otorbi D. 23. Ugrinic F. 15. Dieng A. 8. Guerra J. 7. Danjuma A.	1. Garcia J. (G) 24. Garcia E. 5. Cubarsi P. 18. Martin G. 12. Espart X. 7. Fermín 16. Rodri 8. Pedri 10. Lamine Yamal 11. Raphinha (C) 17. Gordon A.
Substitutes
37. Blazquez A. 36. Cordoba I. 38. Dura J. 9. Duro H. 10. Elliott H. 31. Gamon R. 14. Gaya J. 33. Mayol A. 19. Raba D. 39. Sato R. 5. Tarrega C. 25. van Oevelen K. (G)	29. Abdelkarim H. 14. Adeyemi K. 3. Balde A. 22. Bernal M. 2. Cancelo J. 15. Christensen A. 9. Gabriel Jesus 6. Gavi 23. Kounde J. 25. Livakovic D. (G) 20. Olmo D. 13. Szczesny W. (G)
Coaches
Corberan C.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Fermín (A),
22', 0 - 2, Fermín ⚽, Gordon A. (A),
29', Garcia E. ↓, Kounde J. ↑,
45+3', Cubarsi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', Rodri 🟨,
50', 0 - 3, Raphinha ⚽, Fermín (A),
54', Pepelu ↓, Tarrega C. ↑,
54', Vazquez J. ↓, Gaya J. ↑,
54', Maffeo P. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
62', Cubarsi P. ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
62', Gordon A. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
62', Rodri ↓, Bernal M. ↑,
62', Diakhaby M. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
62', Guerra J. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
65', Fermín 🟨,
75', Fermín ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
76', Otorbi D. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Pedri ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
81', Martinez A. 🟨,
81', Pedri ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
84', 0 - 5, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Olmo D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.

Recent form of Valencia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barcelona is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Valencia: Canos S. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) De Haas J. (Ankle Injury) Lopez D. (Knee Injury) Rioja L. (Injury) Rodriguez G. (Muscle Injury) Sadiq U. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Barcelona: Bardghji R. (Knee Injury) Bisiwu J. (Ankle Injury) de Jong F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Livakovic D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 24:53. (average 1.2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Barcelona: 70.8% Valencia: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31:7	24	21
20	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
30.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Valencia - Betis	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Valencia - Teruel	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Stoke City - Valencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLT
- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
31.08.26	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	5:2 ✺
27.08.26	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Elche - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Barcelona - Al Ahly Cairo	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Basel - Barcelona	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.05.26	Valencia - Barcelona	3:1
14.09.25	Barcelona - Valencia	6:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.02.25	Valencia - Barcelona	0:5
Spanish LaLiga
26.01.25	Barcelona - Valencia	7:1
17.08.24	Valencia - Barcelona	1:2
29.04.24	Barcelona - Valencia	4:2
16.12.23	Valencia - Barcelona	1:1

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