The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América 40.6%
Draw 24.9%
Toluca 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
25.5%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
25%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club América's performance.
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Club América - Toluca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 5th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
América may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for América: Raphael Veiga
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Toluca: Lopez I.
(Knee Injury)
Ruiz M.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for América: Davila V.
(Knee Injury)
Zendejas A.
(Groin Injury)
Zuniga J.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, América has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:26 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for América against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:7 goals (averaging 1.9:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Club America
14
8
4
2
34:19
15
28
5
Toluca
14
6
5
3
29:19
10
23
Last Results with these Odds
Club América - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.35%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
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