Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alfonso Lastras (San Luis Potosí)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atlético San Luis		Club América

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.61	Watch
	4.7	3.95	1.65	Watch
	4.93	4.1	1.69
	5.12	4.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4)	4.04 ↑ (3.7)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético San Luis
19.4%

Draw
23.4%

Club América
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

24.2%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

23.7%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Atlético San Luis - Club América Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlético San Luis (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Atlético San Luis (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Club América will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Club América will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 2 - 22.2%). América (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 3. Robson Bambu 31. Aguila E. 8. Sanabria J. (C) 21. Macias O. 19. Salles-Lamonge S. 18. Cruz A. 13. Rodrigo Dourado 7. Galdames B. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao	1. Malagon L. (C) 5. Alvarez K. 4. Caceres S. 29. Juarez R. 26. Borja C. 3. Reyes I. 28. Sanchez E. 11. Davila V. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 7. Rodriguez B. 27. Aguirre R.
Substitutes
25. Barajas F. 4. Dominguez J. 14. Garcia M. 15. Guillen D. 197. Joao Louranco 10. Klimowicz M. 34. Lajud G. (G) 16. Marchand J. 26. Perez S. 22. Yan Phillipe	13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 8. Fidalgo A. 35. Naveda S. 15. Orquin R. 97. Saint-Maximin A. 32. Vazquez M. 12. Violante I. 10. Zendejas A. 19. Zuniga J.
Coaches
Abascal G.	Jardine A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Juarez R. 🟨,
44', Aguirre R. ↓, Zendejas A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Caceres S. 🟨,
64', Rodriguez B. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
64', Davila V. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
64', Sanchez E. ↓, Fidalgo A. ↑,
67', Cruz A. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
73', Macias O. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
82', 🟨,
83', Salles-Lamonge S. 🟨,
86', Galdames B. ↓, Marchand J. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Zendejas A. ⚽, Zuniga J. (A),
90+5', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2.

In recent matches, Atlético San Luis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

América is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, América is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in América: Martin H. (Knee Injury) dos Santos J. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Juanpe (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in América: Espinoza D. (Injury) Naveda S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
21.09.25	Santos Laguna - Atlético San Luis	1:4 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Toluca	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Querétaro - Atlético San Luis	3:2 ✺
15.08.25	Puebla - Atlético San Luis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLW
- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
20.09.25	Monterrey - Club América	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Club América - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Club América - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Atlas - Club América	2:4 ✺
16.08.25	Tigres UANL - Club América	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
28.01.25	Club América - Atlético San Luis	3:0
06.07.24	Atlético San Luis - Club América	2:1
29.03.24	Club América - Atlético San Luis	2:1
09.12.23	Club América - Atlético San Luis	0:2
06.12.23	Atlético San Luis - Club América	0:5
01.11.23	Atlético San Luis - Club América	0:1
13.05.23	Club América - Atlético San Luis	1:2

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