Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 4

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Barcelona B		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.12	3.19	3.41
	2.12	3.13	3.52
	2.04	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.68)	3.15 ↓ (3.41)	3.43 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
43.9%

Draw
29.2%

Fuenlabrada
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

26.8%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

26.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona B's form might have worsened.

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fuenlabrada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barcelona B - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 32. Fort H. 23. Fernandez P. 15. Faye M. 3. Martin G. 8. Moha Moukhliss 27. Bernal M. 10. Garrido A. 9. Percan 19. Delgado P. V. 18. Roman P.	13. Belman (G) 2. Vigaray C. 4. Sotillos A. 5. Lama M. 14. Barbosa A. 8. Cristobal 23. Galindo A. 11. Nieto D. 10. Bravo A. 17. Ruiz Fer 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
25. Cubarsi P. 14. Cuellar J. 21. Darvich N. 12. Goujon I. 26. Prim P. 30. Rodriguez D. 16. Sanchez E. 41. Yaakobishvili A. (G)	16. Alba D. 21. Buer S. 1. Diaz J. (G) 3. Duran J. 29. Fofana A. 19. Hassaine I. 26. Jerome Hilt H. 15. Sanchez A. 20. Sergio Benito

Preview

Recent matches Barcelona B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fuenlabrada is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Barcelona B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.09.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Barcelona B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	SD Logroñés - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Valencia B - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Barcelona B - Lleida	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.09.23	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Cornellà - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:3 ✺
12.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWL

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