The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnástic de Tarragona 60.1%
Draw 23.7%
Barcelona B 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
28.2%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
23.3%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.
Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barcelona B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Rebollo D. (G) 20. Miguel 14. Sanz O. 3. Perez G. 21. Oriol J. (C) 10. Jardi J. 8. Montalvo M. 6. Gorostidi A. 22. Narro V. 17. Fernandez P. 9. Antonin
41. Yaakobishvili A. (G) 32. Farre L. 14. Cortes A. 5. Dominguez S. 22. Anaya J. 16. Fernandez T. 8. Garrido A. (C) 39. Soma P. 20. Fernandez G. 19. Dacosta R. 10. Godoy A.
Substitutes
4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 12. Granero B. 18. Jimenez A. 15. Leal A. 34. Peiri A. C. 30. Querol A. 19. Torres R. 1. Varo A. (G)
15. Aziz Issah A. 24. Bikoue 51. Bonfill M. (G) 27. Cuenca A. 21. Darvich N. 17. Lopez R. 4. Mbacke M. 25. Oduro D. 45. Virgili J.
Coaches
Vidal D.
Mila S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Oriol J. (Pen),
37', 2 - 0, Gorostidi A. ⚽, Narro V. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Fernandez T. ⚽, Soma P. (A),
45+1', 3 - 1, ⚽, Miguel (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Anaya J. ↓, Mbacke M. ↑,
63', Jardi J. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
63', Fernandez T. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
63', Miguel ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
65', 🟨,
65', Godoy A. 🟨,
68', 3 - 2, Sanz O. (Own goal),
69', Fernandez P. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
74', Fernandez G. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
85', Garrido A. ↓, Bikoue ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 4.
Recent matches Gimnàstic is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Barcelona B is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gimnàstic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Gimnàstic is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:8 (average 1.1:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.1:0.3).