Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 3

Date: 10 September 2023, Sunday


	Fuenlabrada		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.1
	2.35	2.9	3
	2.38	3.03	3.18
	2.38	2.88	3
	2.32	3.08	3.13
	2.28	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)	3.01 ↑ (3)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
39.5%

Draw
30.6%

Lugo
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Fuenlabrada have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Fuenlabrada - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 2. Vigaray C. 4. Sotillos A. 5. Lama M. 14. Barbosa A. 8. Cristobal 23. Galindo A. 11. Nieto D. 29. Benitez C. 17. Ruiz Fer 9. Gomez D.	13. Tabuaco G. (G) 2. Martinez C. 4. Perez G. 14. Morgado C. 3. Vazquez J. 21. Abdulai S. 8. Aguza S. 15. Narro V. 7. Ledesma L. 9. Quintana Nacho 19. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
16. Alba D. 10. Bravo A. 21. Buer S. 1. Diaz J. (G) 3. Duran J. 24. Giffard L. (G) 19. Hassaine I. 7. Hernandez R. 26. Jerome Hilt H. 30. Muriana J. 15. Sanchez A. 20. Sergio Benito	23. Antonetti L. 11. Antonin 10. Aranda A. 5. Bernardo 6. Castrin A. 1. Diaz L. (G) 27. Gonzalez J. 18. Jozabed 12. Louis-Jean J. 20. Ojeda T. 17. Torrado C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 2.

Fuenlabrada is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lugo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fuenlabrada have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.09.23	Cornellà - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:3 ✺
12.08.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
09.08.23	Manchego - Fuenlabrada	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLT
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.09.23	Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña	0:3 ✺
27.08.23	Lugo - Teruel	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Real Avilés - Lugo	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
11.08.23	Arenteiro - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.05.22	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	1:3
04.09.21	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	1:1
08.03.21	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	0:0
13.09.20	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	2:0
16.02.20	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	0:1
15.09.19	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	2:0

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