Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Barcelona B		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.5
	1.88	3	4
	1.85	3.1	4
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.05	3.02	4.08
	1.66	3.2	5.25
	2.09	3.2	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.68)	3.12 ↓ (3.31)	3.97 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
47.6%

Draw
29.3%

UCAM Murcia
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

27.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

17.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona B's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCAM Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barcelona B - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Barcelona B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UCAM Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barcelona B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.01.22	Barcelona B - Betis B	1:2 ✺
19.12.21	Cornellà - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Barcelona B - Atlético Baleares	3:1 ✺
05.12.21	Villarreal B - Barcelona B	3:0 ✺
27.11.21	Barcelona B - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Club Friendly
15.01.22	Eldense - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.01.22	UCAM Murcia - Cornellà	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.21	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.21	Villarreal B - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
12.12.21	UCAM Murcia - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
16.05.21	UCAM Murcia - Barcelona B	3:2 penalties

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