Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday


	UCAM Murcia		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.26	3.59	2.07	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.17	3.48	2.14	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.63)	3.34 ↓ (3.76)	2.13 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
29.3%

Draw
27.5%

Real Murcia
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

24.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

23.3%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCAM Murcia's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Campillo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Zenitagoia E. ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, Canto S. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Alonso ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, Marin A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

UCAM Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Murcia has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.12.25	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Real Jaén - UCAM Murcia	0:3 ✺
10.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.25	Real Murcia - CE Europa	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.12.25	Real Murcia - Betis	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Real Murcia - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Cartagena - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Real Murcia - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.01.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	1:1
29.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:0
30.12.22	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	1:0
29.12.21	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.03.21	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	1:1
13.12.20	Real Murcia - UCAM Murcia	2:1
23.02.20	Real Murcia - UCAM Murcia	3:1

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