Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	UCAM Murcia		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	2.95	3	2.25
	3	2.9	2.35
	2.9	2.95	2.35
	3.14	3.1	2.36
	2.88	2.88	2.45
	3.02	3.08	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.77)	2.97 ↓ (3.01)	2.34 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
30.4%

Draw
30.6%

Albacete Balompié
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

21.9%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albacete Balompié could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UCAM Murcia - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

UCAM Murcia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Albacete is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UCAM Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.12.21	San Fernando - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	UCAM Murcia - Deportivo A Coruña	3:4 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.11.21	UCAM Murcia - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
21.11.21	Atlético Baleares - UCAM Murcia	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLT
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.12.21	Albacete Balompié - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Albacete Balompié - Ferrol	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Albacete Balompié	2:2 ✺
21.11.21	Albacete Balompié - Barcelona B	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Linense - Albacete Balompié	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.08.21	Albacete Balompié - UCAM Murcia	1:1
03.08.17	UCAM Murcia - Albacete Balompié	0:2
27.07.16	Albacete Balompié - UCAM Murcia	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.03.13	UCAM Murcia - Albacete Balompié	1:0

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