Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Barcelona de Ilhéus		Sergipe

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.5
	2.95	2.95	2.37
	3.05	2.89	2.41
	3.07	2.88	2.42	Watch
	3.05	2.81	2.41
	2.95	2.95	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.33)	2.9 ↓ (3.15)	2.41 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona de Ilhéus
30.8%

Draw
31.4%

Sergipe
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona de Ilhéus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona de Ilhéus's form might have worsened.

Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona de Ilhéus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergipe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barcelona de Ilhéus - Sergipe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sergipe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Mateus Henrique ⚽,
31', Iago Felipe 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5)

Barcelona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sergipe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sergipe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Barcelona has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona de Ilhéus
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	4:0 ✺
18.05.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jequié	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	União Carmolandense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Juazeirense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Penedense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLTT
- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Serie D
25.05.25	Sergipe - União Carmolandense	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Penedense - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Lagarto - Sergipe	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Sergipe - Juazeirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLWT

Barcelona de Ilhéus - Sergipe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide