Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Sergipe		União Carmolandense

	1	X	2
	1.43	4	6.25
	1.43	3.95	6.6
	1.41	3.8	6.79
	1.45	3.84	7.14	Watch
	1.41	3.82	7.8
	1.43	3.95	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.63)	3.89 ↑ (3.55)	6.86 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
63.5%

Draw
23.3%

União Carmolandense
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergipe's performance.

União Carmolandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União Carmolandense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Sergipe - União Carmolandense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sergipe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+12', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

In recent matches, Sergipe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

União Carmolandense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sergipe is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Penedense - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Lagarto - Sergipe	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Sergipe - Juazeirense	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Jequié - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWTL
- União Carmolandense
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Juazeirense - União Carmolandense	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	União Carmolandense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Jequié - União Carmolandense	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	União Carmolandense - Penedense	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Lagarto - União Carmolandense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLTL

Sergipe - União Carmolandense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide