Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lagarto |
|
Sergipe |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.53 |
2.66 |
2.33 |
 Watch |
 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.34 |
2.88 |
2.2 |
|
 |
3.16 |
2.88 |
2.24 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↑
(3.04) |
2.83 ↓
(3.25) |
2.23 ↑
(2.22) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lagarto
27.5% | Draw
31.9% | Sergipe
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+2.7%)Lagarto - Sergipe Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 3.Recent form of Lagarto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Sergipe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Lagarto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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