Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finalsDate: 27 June 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sergipe |
|
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.20 |
2.70 |
3.30 |
|
 |
2.18 |
2.78 |
3.35 |
|
 |
2.26 |
2.83 |
3.64 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.59 |
3.75 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.75 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3 |
3.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.35) |
2.78 ↓
(2.9) |
3.52 ↑
(3.15) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sergipe
41.1% | Draw
32.9% | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+3%)Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Vinicius Alves ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 0.Recent form of Sergipe has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).ASA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Sergipe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.4:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Sergipe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 21.06.26 | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe | 1:1 | | 05.07.25 | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe | 2:2 | | 10.05.25 | Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 1:2 | | Brazilian Copa do Nordeste | | | 04.01.25 | Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 0:2 | | Brazilian Serie D | | | 21.07.24 | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe | 2:0 | | 27.04.24 | Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 2:3 | | 01.07.23 | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Sergipe | 1:1 |
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