Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 14

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Barnechea		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.25	4
	1.7	3.3	4.8
	1.77	3.35	4.66
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.77	3.44	4.33
	1.81	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.12)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	4.35 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnechea
51.7%

Draw
27.4%

Deportes Puerto Montt
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnechea's performance.

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Puerto Montt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnechea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Puerto Montt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barnechea - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Puerto Montt have a series of home games.

In this match Barnechea is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnechea won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.05.23	Santiago Wanderers - Barnechea	1:1 ✺
16.05.23	Barnechea - Deportes Recoleta	1:0 ✺
11.05.23	Deportes La Serena - Barnechea	4:2 ✺
30.04.23	Barnechea - San Luis de Quillota	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Barnechea - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLTW
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
21.05.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Antofagasta	1:4 ✺
13.05.23	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Rangers de Talca	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.07.22	Barnechea - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1
28.05.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Barnechea	1:1
22.09.21	Deportes Puerto Montt - Barnechea	1:0
18.05.21	Barnechea - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1
16.11.20	Barnechea - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
05.10.20	Deportes Puerto Montt - Barnechea	1:1
10.08.19	Deportes Puerto Montt - Barnechea	3:0

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