Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 9

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Deportes Puerto Montt		Deportes La Serena

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	1.8
	4.62	3.3	1.69
	5	3.1	1.7
	3.38	3.18	2.1
	4.8	3.3	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (1.69)	3.18 ↓ (3.5)	1.79 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Puerto Montt
20.6%

Draw
28.7%

Deportes La Serena
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Puerto Montt's form might have worsened.

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+34.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Puerto Montt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-31.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Puerto Montt will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Deportes La Serena is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Montt won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.04.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - San Luis de Quillota	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.04.23	Bories - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.03.23	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
20.03.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWLT
- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.04.23	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
01.04.23	Unión Compañías - Deportes La Serena	1:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.03.23	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.23	Deportes La Serena - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.03.23	Deportes La Serena - Cobreloa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.03.19	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:0
13.10.18	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:0
03.03.18	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:2
09.09.17	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:1
29.04.17	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
27.08.16	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes La Serena	1:1
12.03.16	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Puerto Montt	3:1

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