The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 49.2%
Draw 28.4%
Deportes Puerto Montt 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
28.6%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
26.9%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos de Arica's performance.
Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Puerto Montt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos de Arica that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Puerto Montt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Puerto Montt will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 0.
San Marcos de Arica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Puerto Montt is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
San Marcos de Arica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Puerto Montt have a series of home games.
San Marcos de Arica will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-13.
Including matches at home between the teams San Marcos de Arica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
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