Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 26

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Gomora United

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.98	2.38
	2.84	3.03	2.45
	2.84	3.01	2.45	Watch
	2.88	2.75	2.4
	2.99	2.91	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.69)	2.94 ↑ (2.8)	2.45 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
31.7%

Draw
31%

Gomora United
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

32.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

32.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Gomora United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomora United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Baroka - Gomora United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Baroka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gomora's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Baroka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baroka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gomora	5	2	2	1	6:6	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Baroka - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.03%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
19.04.26	Lerumo Lions - Baroka	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Baroka - Leicesterford City	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Baroka	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Milford - Baroka	5:0 ✺
14.03.26	Baroka - Hungry Lions	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Gomora United
South African First Division
17.04.26	University of Pretoria - Gomora United	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Gomora United - Milford	0:1 ✺
07.04.26	Gomora United - The Bees	1:6 ✺
21.03.26	Leicesterford City - Gomora United	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Gomora United - Upington City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
26.09.25	Gomora United - Baroka	2:1

Baroka - Gomora United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide