Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 24

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Leicesterford City

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.92	3.95
	1.95	3	4.08
	1.95	3	4.04	Watch
	1.95	2.75	3.9
	1.94	2.94	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 (1.95)	2.92 ↓ (3)	4.01 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
46.4%

Draw
31%

Leicesterford City
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

30.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

29.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Leicesterford City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicesterford City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Baroka - Leicesterford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Baroka has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leicesterford City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Baroka has had a series of away games.

In this match, Baroka is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baroka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Leicesterford City	5	3	1	1	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
07.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Baroka	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Milford - Baroka	5:0 ✺
14.03.26	Baroka - Hungry Lions	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Venda - Baroka	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	University of Pretoria - Baroka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLTL
- Leicesterford City
South African First Division
07.04.26	Leicesterford City - Hungry Lions	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Leicesterford City - Gomora United	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Black Leopards - Leicesterford City	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Leicesterford City - Kruger United	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Upington City - Leicesterford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
22.11.25	Leicesterford City - Baroka	1:1

Baroka - Leicesterford City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide