Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 29

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Pretoria Callies

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	3.9
	1.8	3.25	4.2
	1.84	3.31	4.42
	1.81	3.3	4.33
	1.78	3.22	4.42
	1.8	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	4.25 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Baroka
50.6%

Draw
27.9%

Pretoria Callies
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Pretoria Callies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pretoria Callies than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Baroka - Pretoria Callies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Malivha S. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Baroka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Baroka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baroka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Baroka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pretoria Callies - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.2%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
03.05.25	Orbit College - Baroka	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Baroka - Highbury	3:1 ✺
23.04.25	Baroka - Upington City	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Casric Stars - Baroka	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Baroka - JDR Stars	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTTW
- Pretoria Callies
South African First Division
03.05.25	Pretoria Callies - Hungry Lions	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Milford - Pretoria Callies	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Durban City - Pretoria Callies	3:0 ✺
22.04.25	Cape Town Spurs - Pretoria Callies	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Pretoria Callies - Leruma United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
26.10.24	Pretoria Callies - Baroka	1:0
17.02.24	Baroka - Pretoria Callies	2:1
02.12.23	Pretoria Callies - Baroka	2:1
29.01.23	Pretoria Callies - Baroka	1:1
14.09.22	Baroka - Pretoria Callies	3:1

Baroka - Pretoria Callies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide