Match Info
Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 28Date: 1 May 2026, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 South-africa | SuperSport PSL |
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Casric Stars |
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Baroka |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.33 |
4.25 |
7.9 |
|
 |
1.34 |
4.49 |
8.1 |
|
 |
1.36 |
4.25 |
8.35 |
 Watch |
 |
1.33 |
3.9 |
8.5 |
|
 |
1.37 |
4.62 |
8.25 |
Watch |
 |
1.41 |
3.6 |
6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.41) |
4.19 ↑
(3.6) |
7.85 ↑
(6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Casric Stars
66.8% | Draw
21.7% | Baroka
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casric Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casric Stars's performance.Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casric Stars than the current prediction. (-22.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casric Stars that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baroka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Casric Stars - Baroka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation). Baroka is Relegated toIn the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casric Stars won 1.Recent performances by Casric Stars have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Baroka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Casric Stars is the undisputed favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Casric Stars won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Casric Stars won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| South African First Division | | | 21.09.25 | Baroka - Casric Stars | 1:1 | | 11.04.25 | Casric Stars - Baroka | 1:1 | | 06.10.24 | Baroka - Casric Stars | 0:0 | | 29.09.23 | Casric Stars - Baroka | 1:1 | | 05.02.23 | Casric Stars - Baroka | 2:1 | | 09.11.22 | Baroka - Casric Stars | 1:2 |
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