Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Premier League - Relegation Group

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Baroka		Richards Bay

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.9	2.5
	2.9	2.95	2.5
	3.1	2.78	2.73
	3.09	2.77	2.72
	2.75	3	2.4
	3.06	2.7	2.62
	2.85	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	2.89 ↓ (2.98)	2.56 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baroka
31.6%

Draw
32.2%

Richards Bay
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

31%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

30.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Baroka - Richards Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Molefe K. (G) 39. Madingwane B. 4. Mashiloane T. 21. Mathiane T. 36. Nonyane L. 6. Sikhosana T. 8. Malivha S. 12. Kgosietsile K. 10. Sithole S. 35. Patjie T. 28. Mtombeni S.	80. Magoola S. (G) 22. Mabuya L. 5. Mthethwa S. 25. Mcineka S. (C) 72. Mabua T. 66. Malepe T. 30. Barns S. 20. Mthembu M. 38. Dlamini R. 45. Ntsundwana S. 9. Mbuthuma Y.
Substitutes
17. Lekoloane K. 20. Mangoale S. 7. Mogale T. 11. Ndhlovu D. 5. Ntsoane R. 38. Nyundu F. 31. Pule B. (G) 14. Selemela K. 2. Shozi P. M.	23. Figuareido J. 13. Gumede T. 16. Jacobs M. (G) 44. Komane B. 27. Makateng K. 88. Makhubela N. 21. Mhlongo L. 29. Muyaba K. 3. Ndaba N.
Coaches
Malesela D.	Vilakazi V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Madingwane B. 🟨,
14', Mashiloane T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Patjie T. ↓, Lekoloane K. ↑,
59', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Figuareido J. ↑,
59', Mthembu M. ↓, Muyaba K. ↑,
72', Kgosietsile K. ↓, Ndhlovu D. ↑,
79', Dlamini R. 🟨,
82', Ntsundwana S. ↓, Gumede T. ↑,
82', Mtombeni S. ↓, Mogale T. ↑,
82', Sithole S. ↓, Selemela K. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baroka FC
South African First Division
02.06.24	University of Pretoria - Baroka	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	University of Pretoria - Baroka	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Baroka - JDR Stars	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Baroka - Marumo Gallants	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Upington City - Baroka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTWW
- Richards Bay FC
South African First Division
05.06.24	Richards Bay - University of Pretoria	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
25.05.24	Richards Bay - Stellenbosch	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Cape Town City - Richards Bay	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay	0:1 ✺
08.05.24	Polokwane City - Richards Bay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWLWT

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