Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 15

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg)


	Orlando Pirates		Richards Bay

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.1	8.5
	1.26	4.95	11
	1.27	5.27	13.14
	1.26	4.88	11.46	Watch
	1.25	4.8	12
	1.24	4.8	11.8	Watch
	1.35	4.2	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	4.71 ↑ (4.06)	10.99 ↑ (8.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Pirates
71.9%

Draw
19.6%

Richards Bay
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

22.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

21%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando Pirates's performance.

Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Orlando Pirates (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - draw (3.80) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Orlando Pirates will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Chaine S. (G) 36. Sebelebele K. 33. Seema L. 5. Sibisi N. (C) 7. Hotto D. 16. Mbatha T. 8. Makhaula M. 38. Mofokeng R. 28. Maswanganyi P. 12. Appollis O. 9. Mbuthuma Y.	1. Otieno I. (G) 5. Sikhakhane T. 25. Mcineka S. (C) 47. Mntungwa S. 22. Mabuya L. 6. Mthethwa T. 30. Barns S. 20. Mthembu M. 36. Zikhali L. 17. Gumede T. 14. Mahala L.
Substitutes
35. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 43. Chabatsane M. 46. Dansin C. 14. De Jong A. 17. Makgopa E. 11. Moremi T. 3. Ndaba N. 15. Nemtajela M. 21. van Rooyen D.	77. Khumalo L. 32. Mtshali S. (G) 18. Mutizwa K. 55. Mzobe M. 45. Nashixwa B. T. 35. Ndelu T. 33. Ngema W. 19. Nzama S.
Coaches
Ouaddou A.	Zothwane P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Appollis O. ⚽, Sebelebele K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Moremi T. ↑,
61', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Makgopa E. ↑,
65', Makhaula M. 🟨,
68', Mthembu M. 🟨,
72', Mthethwa T. ↓, Nashixwa B. T. ↑,
75', Mahala L. ↓, Mutizwa K. ↑,
76', Mthembu M. ↓, Khumalo L. ↑,
84', Barns S. ↓, Ngema W. ↑,
90+1', Hotto D. ↓, Ndaba N. ↑,
90+1', Appollis O. ↓, Chabatsane M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Makgopa E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 4.

Orlando Pirates has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Richards Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Richards Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Orlando Pirates has had a series of away games.

In this match, Orlando Pirates is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Orlando Pirates will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 0.9:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Orlando Pirates	7	6	1	0	16:1	15	19
14	Richards Bay	7	0	3	4	9:16	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Pirates
South African Premier Soccer League
04.03.26	Polokwane City - Orlando Pirates	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	0:3 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
21.02.26	Orlando Pirates - Casric Stars	0:1 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
18.02.26	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Orlando Pirates - Marumo Gallants	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW
- Richards Bay FC
South African Premier Soccer League
03.03.26	Richards Bay - Kaizer Chiefs	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Orbit College - Richards Bay	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
20.02.26	Richards Bay - AmaZulu	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
14.02.26	Chippa United - Richards Bay	3:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
08.02.26	Siwelele - Richards Bay	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Knockout
08.11.25	Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates	0:1
South African Nedbank Cup
26.01.25	Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates	1:3
South African Premier Soccer League
05.11.24	Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay	1:0
29.09.24	Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates	0:1
11.05.24	Orlando Pirates - Richards Bay	0:1
25.11.23	Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates	0:0
South African Knockout
04.11.23	Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates	1:0 penalties

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