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Current Win Probability
Barquisimeto 33.8%
Draw 32.4%
Trujillanos 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
30.7%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
30.2%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barquisimeto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barquisimeto's form might have worsened.
Trujillanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barquisimeto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Barquisimeto - Trujillanos Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barquisimeto won 3.
Barquisimeto is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Trujillanos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Barquisimeto has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barquisimeto won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barquisimeto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).