The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Fronteras 18.5%
Draw 23.9%
Barquisimeto 57.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.7%
25.7%
57.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.1%
24.7%
59.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Fronteras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Barquisimeto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Fronteras than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Fronteras won 0.
Real Fronteras is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Barquisimeto has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Real Fronteras could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Barquisimeto for this game.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Real Fronteras has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:36 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Fronteras against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).