Match Info

Carioca B2 - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carioca B2 🌤️ ...


	Barra Mansa		Búzios

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.80	4.80
	1.57	3.41	6	Watch
	1.64	3.65	4.55
	1.67	3.54	4.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	3.6 ↓ (3.87)	4.94 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Mansa
56.6%

Draw
25.1%

Búzios
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Mansa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Búzios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Barra Mansa - Búzios Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 10th and 11th).

Barra Mansa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Barra Mansa is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Barra Mansa has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barra Mansa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Barra Mansa	9	1	4	4	6:12	-6	7
11	Buzios	9	1	0	8	8:25	-17	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Mansa FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
20.09.26	Paduano - Barra Mansa	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Barra Mansa - 7 de Abril	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Friburguense - Barra Mansa	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Barra Mansa - Campos	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Carioca C
23.07.26	Barra Mansa - Búzios	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLTTL
- SE Búzios
Brazilian Carioca B2
20.09.26	Búzios - Serra Macaense	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Santa Cruz RJ - Búzios	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Búzios - Cardoso Moreira	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Rio de Janeiro - Búzios	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Carioca C
26.07.26	Cardoso Moreira - Búzios	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca C
23.07.26	Barra Mansa - Búzios	0:2
19.07.26	Búzios - Barra Mansa	3:0

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