Match Info

Carioca B2 - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Paduano		Barra Mansa

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.50	7.80
	1.29	4.76	9.17	Watch
	1.31	4.65	8.00
	1.23	4.80	11.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	4.68 ↑ (4.27)	9.12 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paduano
70.7%

Draw
19.4%

Barra Mansa
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paduano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paduano's performance.

Barra Mansa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Paduano - Barra Mansa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Carioca B2 PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 9th).

Paduano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Paduano enters as the overwhelming favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paduano EC	7	3	2	2	9:6	3	11
10	Barra Mansa	7	1	4	2	6:10	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paduano EC
Brazilian Carioca B2
13.09.26	Serra Macaense - Paduano	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Carioca B1
08.11.25	Niteroiense - Paduano	5:1 ✺
05.11.25	Paduano - Friburguense	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	São Cristóvão - Paduano	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Duque de Caxias - Paduano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL
- Barra Mansa FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
14.09.26	Barra Mansa - 7 de Abril	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Friburguense - Barra Mansa	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Barra Mansa - Campos	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Carioca C
23.07.26	Barra Mansa - Búzios	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Búzios - Barra Mansa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLL

Paduano - Barra Mansa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide