Match Info

Carioca B2 - Round 6

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Barra Mansa		Paraty

	1	X	2
	3.96	3.61	1.78	Watch
	8	4.5	1.33
	5.66	4.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.87 ↑ (3.96)	4.2 ↑ (3.61)	1.51 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barra Mansa
15.9%

Draw
22.2%

Paraty
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

25.4%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Mansa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barra Mansa's form might have worsened.

Paraty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paraty's recent form is better than expected.

Barra Mansa - Paraty Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paraty (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5).

Paraty's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barra Mansa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paraty is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Mansa FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
13.10.25	7 de Abril - Barra Mansa	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Barra Mansa - Serra Macaense	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Belford Roxo - Barra Mansa	4:1 ✺
11.11.24	7 de Abril - Barra Mansa	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Barra Mansa - Rio de Janeiro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLW
- SE Paraty
Brazilian Carioca B2
20.10.25	Paraty - 7 de Abril	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Serra Macaense - Paraty	2:2 ✺
06.10.25	Paraty - Belford Roxo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Carioca C
04.09.25	Paraty - Santa Cruz RJ	2:0 penalties ✺
31.08.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Paraty	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLWL

Barra Mansa - Paraty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide