The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barranquilla 36.7%
Draw 29.4%
Real Cundinamarca 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
29.8%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
29.3%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barranquilla's performance.
Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Cundinamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barranquilla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Cundinamarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Barranquilla - Real Cundinamarca Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Barranquilla will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 8. Bolivar M. 30. Gomez L. 4. Herazo E. 18. Lozano J. 36. Navia J. 21. Orozco A. 10. Ortiz Javier 23. Oviedo P. 19. Penate C. 7. Torres D.
1. Valencia M. (G) 10. Amaya J. 5. Cano A. 19. Cortes J. 17. Cuellar K. 4. Florez S. 22. Ibarguen E. 2. Suaza J. (C) 7. Valencia Y. 23. Vidal K. 16. Zambrano C.
Substitutes
6. Caballero S. 3. Cassiani O. 32. Chaparro J. 20. Cortez J. 5. Iriarte A. 33. Mosquera D. 29. Olmos C. 9. Pino M. 17. Uribe N.
20. Acosta O. 14. Castro B. 3. Estupinan J. 26. Fernandez J. 33. Lemus J. (G) 28. Rios C. 27. Uribe C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 🟨,
19', 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Cuellar K. ⚽,
31', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barranquilla won 1.
In recent outings, Barranquilla has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Real Cundinamarca shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Real Cundinamarca could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Real Cundinamarca has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Barranquilla has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barranquilla against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Real Cundinamarca
11
7
2
2
19:10
9
23
16
Barranquilla
11
2
3
6
11:17
-6
9
Last Results with these Odds
Barranquilla - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.54%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
Real Cundinamarca - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.62%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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Guerra Navarro S. (G) 
Fernandez J. 
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