Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 11

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Barretos		Grêmio Osasco Audax

	1	X	2
	1.99	2.96	3.74
	1.99	2.97	3.74
	1.96	3.13	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.75)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	3.74 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barretos
45.8%

Draw
30%

Grêmio Osasco Audax
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

25.8%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barretos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barretos's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Osasco Audax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barretos than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barretos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Osasco Audax than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Osasco Audax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Barretos is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Audax has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Audax have a series of home games.

In this match Barretos is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barretos to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barretos EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	Joseense - Barretos	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Barretos - Francana	3:1 ✺
28.02.24	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Barretos	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Barretos - America SP	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	Barretos - Nacional SP	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWTW
- Grêmio Osasco Audax
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Taquaritinga	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - União Barbarense	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	Francana - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	0:1 ✺
21.02.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Rio Branco de Americana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Barretos - Grêmio Osasco Audax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide