Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Barwell		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	5.28	4.35	1.5
	4.62	4.24	1.60	Watch
	6.47	3.88	1.45
	5.33	4.2	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (4.33)	4.09 ↑ (3.8)	1.51 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
16.9%

Draw
22.4%

Harborough Town
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

23.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

23%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harborough Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Barwell - Harborough Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Harborough (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Morris A. ⚽,
44', Morgan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Recent performances by Barwell have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Harborough is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barwell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Harborough is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Barwell won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
26.11.25	Stourbridge - Barwell	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Royston Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
17.11.25	Barwell - Stratford Town	5:2 ✺
15.11.25	Barwell - Worcester City	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Sudbury Town - Barwell	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWLW
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
25.11.25	Harborough Town - Redditch United	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Worcester City - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Quorn - Harborough Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Harborough Town - Enfield Town	3:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.25	Harborough Town - Sudbury Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Harborough Town - Barwell	1:0
26.12.24	Barwell - Harborough Town	2:2

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