Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 19

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Stourbridge		Barwell

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.3	2.78
	2.2	3.52	2.88
	2.58	3.72	2.38	Watch
	2.19	3.3	2.92
	2.2	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.58)	3.47 ↓ (3.72)	2.76 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
40.3%

Draw
26.5%

Barwell
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

24.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barwell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barwell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stourbridge - Barwell Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 2.

Stourbridge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barwell has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stourbridge won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Stourbridge - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Barwell - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
22.11.25	Stourbridge - Halesowen Town	1:3 ✺
18.11.25	Worcester City - Stourbridge	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Stourbridge - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Stratford Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stourbridge - Stamford	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTL
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
22.11.25	Royston Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
17.11.25	Barwell - Stratford Town	5:2 ✺
15.11.25	Barwell - Worcester City	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Sudbury Town - Barwell	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Barwell - Redditch United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.09.25	Barwell - Stourbridge	2:0
18.04.25	Barwell - Stourbridge	0:2
06.09.24	Stourbridge - Barwell	0:0
16.12.23	Barwell - Stourbridge	3:1
19.08.23	Stourbridge - Barwell	2:0
14.01.23	Barwell - Stourbridge	1:1
26.11.22	Stourbridge - Barwell	0:1

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