Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 17

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Barwell		Stratford Town

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.25	2.45
	2.56	3.32	2.47
	2.53	3.63	2.49	Watch
	2.52	3.34	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.35)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	2.45 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
36%

Draw
26.9%

Stratford Town
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

25.4%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Stratford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Barwell - Stratford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Dwyer A. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Dwyer A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
47', 3 - 0, Dwyer A. ⚽,
54', 4 - 0, Dwyer A. (Pen),
68', 4 - 1, Bruce C. ⚽,
75', 5 - 1, Dwyer A. ⚽,
90+2', 5 - 2, Lafferty D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 2.

Barwell has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stratford's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stratford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barwell won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 1.4:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Stratford Town - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
15.11.25	Barwell - Worcester City	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Sudbury Town - Barwell	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Barwell - Redditch United	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Stamford - Barwell	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Leiston - Barwell	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWT
- Stratford Town
English Southern League Central Division
15.11.25	Royston Town - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Stratford Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Stratford Town - Needham Market	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Stratford Town - Real Bedford	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Anstey Nomads - Stratford Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
09.09.25	Stratford Town - Barwell	4:1
15.02.25	Barwell - Stratford Town	2:1
22.10.24	Stratford Town - Barwell	1:1
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Barwell - Stratford Town	1:0
English Southern League Central Division
13.01.24	Stratford Town - Barwell	4:3
12.08.23	Barwell - Stratford Town	1:0
01.04.23	Stratford Town - Barwell	1:1

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