Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Leiston		Barwell

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.65
	1.8	3.91	3.65
	1.84	3.81	3.71	Watch
	1.8	3.64	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)	3.74 ↓ (3.81)	3.68 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
50.7%

Draw
24.5%

Barwell
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

24.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Leiston - Barwell Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Cook F. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Hakeem Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 2, Manly J. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, Blois R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2.

Leiston is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barwell has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barwell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leiston is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
14.10.25	Royston Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Stourbridge - Leiston	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Lewes - Leiston	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Leiston - St Ives Town	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Leiston - Harborough Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWTT
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.25	Real Bedford - Barwell	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.25	Barwell - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Stratford Town - Barwell	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.03.25	Leiston - Barwell	3:4
21.09.24	Barwell - Leiston	0:0
10.02.24	Leiston - Barwell	1:2
30.09.23	Barwell - Leiston	2:3
08.04.23	Leiston - Barwell	2:0
06.02.23	Barwell - Leiston	2:3
22.01.22	Barwell - Leiston	2:0

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