Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Stamford		Barwell

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.35	2.68
	2.15	3.45	2.92
	2.24	3.66	2.80	Watch
	2.3	3.34	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 (2.24)	3.45 ↓ (3.66)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stamford
40.8%

Draw
26.4%

Barwell
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

24.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stamford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Stamford - Barwell Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stamford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+6', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 3.

Stamford has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barwell has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barwell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stamford has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stamford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Barwell - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
18.10.25	Stamford - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stamford	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Macclesfield Town - Stamford	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Real Bedford - Stamford	3:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Kettering Town - Stamford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLT
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
18.10.25	Leiston - Barwell	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Real Bedford - Barwell	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.25	Barwell - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
08.03.25	Barwell - Stamford	0:1
10.09.24	Stamford - Barwell	3:1
24.02.24	Stamford - Barwell	4:0
21.10.23	Barwell - Stamford	4:4
English FA Trophy
27.11.18	Barwell - Stamford	4:3 penalties
24.11.18	Stamford - Barwell	1:1
English NPL Premier Division
30.03.16	Barwell - Stamford	0:1

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