Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Barycz Sułów		Polkowice

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.30	2.87
	2.18	3.40	2.70
	2.13	3.55	2.77
	2.15	3.66	2.82
	2.1	3.5	2.7
	2.06	3.82	2.99	Watch
	2.21	3.41	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)	3.52 ↑ (3.41)	2.78 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barycz Sułów
42.1%

Draw
25.5%

Polkowice
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

24.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barycz Sułów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barycz Sułów than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Barycz Sułów - Polkowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Leonczyk J. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Barycz Sułów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sulow	11	6	2	3	18:13	5	20
8	Polkowice	11	4	3	4	19:18	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Polkowice - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 34.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barycz Sułów
Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.09.26	Barycz Sułów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Carina Gubin - Barycz Sułów	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Barycz Sułów - ROW Rybnik	4:0 ✺
19.08.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Barycz Sułów	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Barycz Sułów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW
- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
06.09.26	Polkowice - Carina Gubin	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Polkowice - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
29.08.26	ROW Rybnik - Polkowice	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Polkowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polkowice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWT

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